Prospective CSEP Evaluation of 1-Day, 3-Month, and 5-Yr Earthquake Forecasts for Italy

M. Taroni, W. Marzocchi, D. Schorlemmer, M. J. Werner, S. Wiemer, J. D. Zechar, L. Heiniger, F. Euchner

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

11 Scopus citations

Abstract

In 2009, the global Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP) launched three experiments to forecast the distribution of earthquakes in Italy in the subsequent 5 yrs. CSEP solicited forecasts for seismicity tomorrow, in the next three months, and for the entire 5 yrs. In those 5 yrs, the Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV) recorded 83 target earthquakes with local magnitude 3.95≤M
Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)1251-1261
Number of pages11
JournalSeismological Research Letters
Volume89
Issue number4
DOIs
StatePublished - Jun 13 2018
Externally publishedYes

Bibliographical note

KAUST Repository Item: Exported on 2020-10-01
Acknowledged KAUST grant number(s): URF/1/2160-01-01
Acknowledgements: This research was supported by the Southern California Earthquake Center (SCEC; Contribution Number 8022). SCEC is funded by National Science Foundation (NSF) Cooperative Agreement EAR-1033462 and U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) Cooperative Agreement G12AC20038 and the King Abdullah University of Science and Technology (KAUST) research Grant Number URF/1/2160-01-01. Part of the work has been carried out within the Seismic Hazard Center (Centro di Pericolosità Sismica [CPS]) at the Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV).
This publication acknowledges KAUST support, but has no KAUST affiliated authors.

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