Prospective CSEP Evaluation of 1-Day, 3-Month, and 5-Yr Earthquake Forecasts for Italy

M. Taroni, W. Marzocchi, D. Schorlemmer, M. J. Werner, S. Wiemer, J. D. Zechar, L. Heiniger, F. Euchner

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

15 Scopus citations

Abstract

In 2009, the global Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP) launched three experiments to forecast the distribution of earthquakes in Italy in the subsequent 5 yrs. CSEP solicited forecasts for seismicity tomorrow, in the next three months, and for the entire 5 yrs. In those 5 yrs, the Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV) recorded 83 target earthquakes with local magnitude 3.95≤M
Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)1251-1261
Number of pages11
JournalSeismological Research Letters
Volume89
Issue number4
DOIs
StatePublished - Jun 13 2018
Externally publishedYes

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